Yes59%
Vol$350.62
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?
Part of: Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?YesYes Price
59¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$350.62
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
May 15, 2026
in about 2 monthsWill Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?
Yes
59¢
|
Vol
$350.62
|
Outcomes
2
Yes58.5¢
No41.5¢
Price History
Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
May 15, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pope Leo XIV publishes his encyclical by May 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For a letter to qualify it must be commonly understood as an encyclical or declared as an encyclical upon release. Other forms of papal brief, such as a papal bull, will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from Pope Leo XIV, official information from the Catholic Church, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
46 Days Left
May 15, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago