PPOLYMARKET

Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?

Yes100%+5.4%

Vol$96.78K

Outcomes2

100%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETclosed

Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?

MarketPOLYMARKETclosedPolitics

Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?

YesYes Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$96.78K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

May 31, 2026

about 1 month ago

Trade on Polymarket

Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?

Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?

Yes

100¢

|

Vol

$96.78K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes100.0¢

No0.0¢

Price History

Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

Past Due

May 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Resolution Information

Status

Closed

Expected Resolution

May 31, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.694152° N, 35.391767° E in Riasne, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Riasne1.png Intersection Location in Riasne: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Riasne2.png Riasne Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Riasne3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/wUGyKzGT3VtajBoH9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.