Yes6%+0.5%
Vol$3.59K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?
Part of: How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?NoNo Price
95¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$3.59K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
in 2 monthsWill the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?
No
95¢
|
Vol
$3.59K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes5.5¢
No94.5¢
Price History
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
March 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
73 Days Left
March 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago