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Will the 7-day average ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz be 4+ on December 31?

Yes 41.0%

Vol$20

SnapshotNov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Yes 41.0%

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Will the 7-day average ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz be 4+ on December 31?

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Will the 7-day average ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz be 4+ on December 31?

Part of: 7-day average ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz on December 31?

YesYes Price

41.0¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$20

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

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Will the 7-day average ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz be 4+ on December 31?

Will the 7-day average ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz be 4+ on December 31?

Yes

41.0¢

|

Vol

$20

|

Outcomes

2

Yes41.0¢

No59.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 41.0%. Snapshot Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the 7-day average ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz be 4+ on December 31? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market details

Status: active
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Created: Nov 14, 2026, 2:40 AM UTC
Reported volume: $20
Price snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

The listed close is not a settlement guarantee. Check the provider for current prices before trading.

7-day average ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz on December 31?

7-day average ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz on December 31?

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz for December 31, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. IMF PortWatch typically publishes a rounded 7-day moving average in the chart on its chokepoint page and an unrounded figure in its downloadable files. The figure shown in the chart will be used for settlement. If the chart is unavailable, the downloadable figure, rounded to the nearest whole number, will be used. This market will resolve once IMF PortWatch has published data for December 31, 2026. Revisions made after that point will not be considered, unless subject to the data integrity clause below. If that data is still unpublished 14 calendar days after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve on the most recent data published at that time. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the Transit Calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730.

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