PPOLYMARKET

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?

Yes0%-0.3%

Vol$4.80K

Outcomes2

0%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?

NoNo Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$4.80K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jul 15, 2026

in 5 days

Trade on Polymarket

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$4.80K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.3¢

No99.8¢

Price History

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

4 Days Left

July 15, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

July 15, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the July 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its July 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for July 15, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its July 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.