Yes42%
Vol$0.00
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit 80 by April 30?
Part of: What will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit by April 30?NoNo Price
59¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$0.00
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
May 1, 2026
in about 1 monthWill the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit 80 by April 30?
No
59¢
|
Vol
$0.00
|
Outcomes
2
Yes41.5¢
No58.5¢
Price History
Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit 80 by April 30?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
May 01, 2026
4:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Polylayer data point for the BTC-CRVIX 30 Day Index between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Polylayer, specifically the BTC-CRVIX 30 Day Index values available at https://polylayer.xyz/crvix/btc, with the chart settings on "7D". A data point is considered finalized once the next data point is published. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the BTC-CRVIX 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market. For reference, the methodology can be found at: https://polylayer.xyz/crvix
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
32 Days Left
May 01, 2026 • 4:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago