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Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?

Yes2%-0.1%

Vol$2.78K

Outcomes2

2%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?

Part of: ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

NoNo Price

98¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$2.78K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Dec 17, 2026

in 2 months

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Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?

No

98¢

|

Vol

$2.78K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes2.3¢

No97.8¢

Price History

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

66 Days Left

December 17, 2026 • 11:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

December 17, 2026

11:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 16-17, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.