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Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Yes 21.0%

Vol$22.1K

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

Yes 21.0%

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Event

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Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Part of: Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

YesYes Price

21.0¢

VolTotal Volume

$22.1K

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

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Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Yes

21.0¢

Vol

$22.1K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes21.0¢

No79.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 21.0%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

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Resolution Info