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Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

Yes 69.5%

Vol$10.7K

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 69.5%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

Part of: Which Senate races will be within 5%?

YesYes Price

69.5¢

VolTotal Volume

$10.7K

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

Yes

69.5¢

Vol

$10.7K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes69.5¢

No30.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 69.5%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Resolution Info