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Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?

Yes2%

Vol$695.44

Outcomes2

2%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?

Part of: Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

NoNo Price

98¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$695.44

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

May 31, 2026

3 months ago

Trade on Polymarket

Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?

Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?

No

98¢

|

Vol

$695.44

|

Outcomes

2

Yes1.7¢

No98.4¢

Price History

Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

Past Due

May 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

May 31, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation. A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify. The following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered. Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition. For example: - If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”. In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election. If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government. If the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.