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Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?

Yes75%-2.5%

Vol$37.72K

Outcomes2

75%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?

Part of: When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

YesYes Price

75¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$37.72K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 1, 2026

in 21 days

Trade on Polymarket

Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?

Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?

Yes

75¢

|

Vol

$37.72K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes74.5¢

No25.5¢

Price History

Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

20 Days Left

November 01, 2026 • 11:59 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 01, 2026

11:59 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline. A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market. The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period. If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.