PPOLYMARKET

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?

Yes8%

Vol$8.96K

Outcomes2

8%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?

NoNo Price

93¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$8.96K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 20, 2027

in 5 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?

No

93¢

|

Vol

$8.96K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes7.5¢

No92.5¢

Price History

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

143 Days Left

January 20, 2027 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 20, 2027

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.