Name: U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
End: 2027-01-20T00:00:00.000Z

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U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $1.99K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.99K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	Poly	56%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?	Poly	14%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?	Poly	14%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?	Poly	12%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Poly	11%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Poly	11%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?	Poly	9%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?	Poly	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$1.99K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (ht

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 20, 2027 (324 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.

The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (ht

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $13.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.14)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $393
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $235
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $213
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $197
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $290
  DATA: [Yes: 11.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.4% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $245
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $189
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $232
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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