Market snapshot: Oct 14, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

Name: U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
End: 2027-01-21T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$138.30K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

Vol

$138.30K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $138.30K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $138.30K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Poly	60%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	Poly	20%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?	Poly	7%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?	Poly	3%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	Poly	2%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?	Poly	2%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Poly	1%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?	Poly	1%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

60%

Top Probability

$138.30K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (ht

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 21, 2027 (99 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.

The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (ht

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $138.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $10.2K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 13.50)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $19.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $23.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $57.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 59.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.2% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $10.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $15.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy