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Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?

Yes 31.4%

Vol$123.7K

SnapshotOct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Yes 31.4%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveWorld

Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?

Part of: How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

YesYes Price

31.4¢

VolTotal Volume

$123.7K

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?

Yes

31.4¢

Vol

$123.7K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes31.4¢

No68.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 31.4%. Snapshot Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Resolution Info