Yes30%+2.0%
Vol$1.75M
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?
Part of: Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?NoNo Price
71¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$1.75M
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
in 16 daysWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31?
No
71¢
|
Vol
$1.75M
|
Outcomes
2
Yes29.5¢
No70.5¢
Price History
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
January 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
15 Days Left
January 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago