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Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Yes86%+0.1%

Vol$57.21K

Outcomes2

86%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Part of: Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

YesYes Price

86¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$57.21K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 3, 2026

in about 2 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Yes

86¢

|

Vol

$57.21K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes85.9¢

No14.1¢

Price History

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

57 Days Left

November 03, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 03, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?). The rules and resolution criteria are as follows: 1. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? This market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/). 2. Which party will win the House in 2026? This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated. The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber. All House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.