PPOLYMARKET

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Yes14%-0.5%

Vol$65.92K

Outcomes2

14%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

NoNo Price

86¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$65.92K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 3, 2026

in 4 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

No

86¢

|

Vol

$65.92K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes13.9¢

No86.2¢

Price History

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

111 Days Left

November 03, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 03, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?). The rules and resolution criteria are as follows: 1. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? This market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/). 2. Which party will win the House in 2026? This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.