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Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes95%

Vol$18.09K

Outcomes2

95%

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Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Part of: Which movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?

YesYes Price

95¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$18.09K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

in 4 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes

95¢

|

Vol

$18.09K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes94.5¢

No5.5¢

Price History

Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

117 Days Left

January 01, 2027 • 4:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Which movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Which movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 01, 2027

4:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.