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GroupPOLYMARKET

Which movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Which movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Vol

PM $43.0K

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Events

1

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Markets

6

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Toy Story 5 at 95.5%.

Polymarket

  1. Toy Story 595.5%
  2. Dune: Messiah3.1%
  3. Avengers: Doomsday2.5%
  4. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping0.3%
  5. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie0.1%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $43.0K

Reported volume · provider units

6

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketCulture
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?

PM $175.0K
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 59%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 41%
Will Toy Story 5 have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes <0.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

PM $2.44M
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 56%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 43.5%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes <0.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

PM $259.0K
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes 63%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes 35.5%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes <0.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote?

What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote?

K 235.63 contracts
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for November 10, 2026? (Photoshop)Yes 68.5%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for November 10, 2026? (Generative AI / Gen AI)Yes 62%
What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for November 10, 2026? (Premiere)Yes 52%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of 2026?

IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of 2026?

K 8.3K contracts
Will BTS be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 58%
Will Taylor Swift be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 25%
Will Bad Bunny be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 6%
+19 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

PM $17.74M
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 91%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 7.5%
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 0.1%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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