Yes11%-3.0%
Vol$137.24
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?
Part of: How many people will Trump deport in 2026?NoNo Price
90¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$137.24
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
in 12 monthsWill Trump deport 400-500k people?
No
90¢
|
Vol
$137.24
|
Outcomes
2
Yes10.5¢
No89.5¢
Price History
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
December 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
348 Days Left
December 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago