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Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?

Yes 5.1%

Vol$1.5K

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 5.1%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?

Part of: How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

YesYes Price

5.1¢

VolTotal Volume

$1.5K

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 4, 2027, 5:00 PM UTC

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Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?

Yes

5.1¢

Vol

$1.5K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes5.1¢

No94.8¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 5.1%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 4, 2027, 5:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.

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Resolution Info