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Will UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between October 26-November 1?

Yes 8.5%

Vol$125.3

SnapshotOct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 8.5%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Will UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between October 26-November 1?

Part of: How many UKMTO notices October 26–November 1?

YesYes Price

8.5¢

VolTotal Volume

$125.3

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between October 26-November 1?

Yes

8.5¢

Vol

$125.3

Outcomes

Trade

Yes8.5¢

No91.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 8.5%. Snapshot Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between October 26-November 1? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to the total number of notices that UKMTO (United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations) publishes on its Recent Incidents page with a publication date from October 26, 2026, through November 1, 2026 (UTC), inclusive, as displayed on that page. All notice types will count, including warnings, advisories, suspicious activity notices, and attack reports, including time-late reports of incidents that occurred before October 26, 2026 (UTC). Each notice will be counted once. Updates to, corrections of, or reissues of a previously published notice will not count as separate notices, including any subsequent notice that updates or provides additional information on an incident already reported by UKMTO. Only notices published by UKMTO will count. Maritime incidents that are not the subject of a UKMTO notice published within the specified period will not count, regardless of whether they occurred or are reported by other sources. This market will resolve as soon as all notices for the specified period have been published. Notices published after November 1, 2026 (UTC) will not be considered, even if they relate to incidents within the specified period. The resolution source for this market will be UKMTO, specifically the Recent Incidents page at https://www.ukmto.org/recent-incidents. If that page is unavailable, notices published through UKMTO's official channels may be used.

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Resolution Info