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Will Union Centriste hold fewer than 53 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

Yes7%-8.3%

Vol$767.56

Outcomes2

7%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will Union Centriste hold fewer than 53 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

Part of: Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election?

NoNo Price

93¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$767.56

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Sep 28, 2026

14 days ago

Trade on Polymarket

Will Union Centriste hold fewer than 53 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

No

93¢

|

Vol

$767.56

|

Outcomes

2

Yes7.0¢

No93.0¢

Price History

Will Union Centriste hold fewer than 53 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

Past Due

September 28, 2026 • 3:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election?

Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

September 28, 2026

3:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats. The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST. This market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by the Groupe Union Centriste as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST. The seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés). A group will qualify as the Groupe Union Centriste if it satisfies at least one of the following: - Its official name includes "Union Centriste" or a clear variant thereof; - Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the group; or - It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the Groupe Union Centriste, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting. A group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above. If the group merges with one or more other groups, this market will resolve according to the total membership of the merged group, provided the merged group meets at least one of the criteria above. If no group qualifies, or group composition is not officially published, as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be publications of the French Senate (senat.fr) and the Official Journal of France, and a consensus of credible reporting. The administrative meeting of senators not appearing on the list of any group (RASNAG) will not qualify as a group for the purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be publications of the French Senate (senat.fr) and the Official Journal of France, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.