What is the current price for "How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?"?

The leading outcome "Yes" is currently trading at 62.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?"?

There are 20 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

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How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

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EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIFinancials

How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

Name: How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?
Start: 2026-10-31T11:22:36.013Z
End: 2026-11-30T11:22:36.013Z

Part of: How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

By Nov 6, 2026 If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below X on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

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How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

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Market snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.93% by Nov 6, 2026?

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All Markets(20)

Market	Outcome price
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.93% by Nov 6, 2026?	Yes 62.0%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.92% by Nov 6, 2026?	Yes 59.0%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.91% by Nov 6, 2026?	Yes 55.0%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.90% by Nov 6, 2026?	Yes 52.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.89% by Nov 6, 2026?	Yes 49.5%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (20)

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KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.93% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.93% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome62.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

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KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.92% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.92% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome59.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

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KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.91% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.91% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome55.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.90% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.90% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome52.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.89% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.89% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

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KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.88% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.88% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome46.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.87% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.87% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome43.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.86% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.86% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome40.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.85% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.85% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome37.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.84% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.84% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome35.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.83% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.83% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome32.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.82% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.82% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome30.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.81% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.81% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome27.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.80% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.80% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome25.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.79% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.79% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome23.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.78% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.78% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome22.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.77% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.77% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome20.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.76% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.76% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome18.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.75% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.75% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome16.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.74% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.74% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome15.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

Back to Event Group

How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

Market Price Graph

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.93% by Nov 6, 2026?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets (20)

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