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Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.82% by Nov 6, 2026?

Yes 30.0%

Vol0 contracts

SnapshotOct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

Yes 30.0%

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Event

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Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.82% by Nov 6, 2026?

Part of: How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

YesYes Price

30.0¢

VolTotal Volume

0 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 8, 2026, 6:05 AM UTC

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Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.82% by Nov 6, 2026?

Yes

30.0¢

Vol

0 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes30.0¢

No70.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 30.0%. Snapshot Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.82% by Nov 6, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 8, 2026, 6:05 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.82% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

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Resolution Info