What is the current price for "AI capability growth before July?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 97.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "AI capability growth before July?"?

There are 8 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "AI capability growth before July?"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

AI capability growth before July?

Name: AI capability growth before July?
Start: 2026-04-18T11:32:34.173Z
End: 2026-05-18T11:32:34.173Z

Market Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1525 before Jul 1, 2026

kalshi

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All Markets(8)

Market	Price
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1525 before Jul 1, 2026	36%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jul 1, 2026	25%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1575 before Jul 1, 2026	13%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jul 1, 2026	9%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1625 before Jul 1, 2026	5%

Markets (8)

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KALSHISports

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1525 before Jul 1, 2026

If an AI model has a score of at least 1525 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jul 1, 2026

If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1575 before Jul 1, 2026

If an AI model has a score of at least 1575 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jul 1, 2026

If an AI model has a score of at least 1600 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1625 before Jul 1, 2026

If an AI model has a score of at least 1625 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1650 before Jul 1, 2026

If an AI model has a score of at least 1650 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1675 before Jul 1, 2026

If an AI model has a score of at least 1675 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1700 before Jul 1, 2026

If an AI model has a score of at least 1700 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.