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Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)

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EventKALSHI

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)
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Vol

70.3K contracts

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Markets

11

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Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(11)
MarketOutcome price
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
Yes 88.5%
Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
Yes 83.5%
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
Yes 77.5%
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
Yes 53.5%
Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?
Yes 41.5%

Event Overview

11/9 - 11/15 If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (11)

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KALSHITech
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 170 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome88.5%
Yes
Volume4.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome83.5%
Yes
Volume8.9K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 180 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome77.5%
Yes
Volume15.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 185 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome53.5%
Yes
Volume10.9K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome41.5%
Yes
Volume7.3K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 195 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 195 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 195 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome35.5%
Yes
Volume6.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome24.0%
Yes
Volume3.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 205 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome11.5%
Yes
Volume5.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 210 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume3.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 220 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 220 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 220 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume37 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 230 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Will there be more than 230 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 230 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume4.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 15, 2027
View Details

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