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Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Yes 77.5%

Vol15.7K contracts

SnapshotNov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 77.5%

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Event

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Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Part of: Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)

YesYes Price

77.5¢

VolTotal Volume

15.7K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Feb 15, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC

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Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?

Yes

77.5¢

Vol

15.7K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes77.5¢

No22.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 77.5%. Snapshot Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Feb 15, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 180 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

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Resolution Info