What is the current price for "Best LLM at the end of the decade?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 95.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Best LLM at the end of the decade?"?

There are 34 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Best LLM at the end of the decade?"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

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Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Yes17%

Vol$0.00

Markets34

17%

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EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIScience and Technology

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Name: Best LLM at the end of the decade?
Start: 2026-10-12T04:10:17.273Z
End: 2026-11-11T04:10:17.273Z

Part of: Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Dec 31, 2029 at 10:00 AM ET If X has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. If the top model

YesLeading Yes Probability

17%

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

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Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Yes

17%

Vol

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Market Price Graph

34 markets tracked

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Google)

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All Markets(34)

Market	Price
Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Google)	17%
Best LLM at the end of the decade? (OpenAI)	16%
Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Anthropic)	16%
Best LLM at the end of the decade? (xAI)	8%
Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Meta)	6%

Markets (34)

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Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Google)

If Google has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Market Price Graph

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Google)

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (34)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Google)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (OpenAI)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Anthropic)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (xAI)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Meta)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Z AI)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Xiaomi)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Tencent)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Moonshot)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Mistral)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (MiniMax)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (DeepSeek)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (NVIDIA)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Alibaba)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Microsoft)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Huawei)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (ByteDance)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Upstage)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Thinking Machines)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (StepFun)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Safe Superintelligence)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Reflection AI)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Prime Intellect)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (LongCat)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (LG AI Research)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Inception)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (InclusionAI)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Institute of Foundation Models)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Essential AI)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Cohere)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (China Mobile)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Baidu)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Arcee AI)

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Amazon)

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