What is the current price for "Which bills will become law in 2026?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 95.2% probability.

How many markets are available for "Which bills will become law in 2026?"?

There are 17 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Which bills will become law in 2026?"?

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Which bills will become law in 2026?

Name: Which bills will become law in 2026?
Start: 2026-04-17T15:14:01.723Z
End: 2026-05-17T15:14:01.723Z

Market Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for any length of time become law before Jan 1, 2027?

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All Markets(17)

Market	Price
Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for any length of time become law before Jan 1, 2027?	99%
Will legislation that mandates expanded adoption of ADS-B “Out” aircraft tracking technology become law before Jan 1, 2027?	75%
Will legislation that creates a federal civil lawsuit right for victims of intimate deepfakes become law before Jan 1, 2027?	65%
Will legislation that would revise federal housing programs to increase housing supply and affordability by expanding federal financing and grant authority for affordable housing and streamlining federal requirements that delay housing development become law before Jan 1, 2027?	63%
Will legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions become law before Jan 1, 2027?	40%

Markets (17)

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Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for any length of time become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for any length of time has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An example of this is Public Law 115-118. The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate

Will legislation that mandates expanded adoption of ADS-B “Out” aircraft tracking technology become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that mandates expanded adoption of ADS-B “Out” aircraft tracking technology has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An example of this is S. 2503 (119th) — ROTOR Act. The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Se

Will legislation that creates a federal civil lawsuit right for victims of intimate deepfakes become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that creates a federal civil lawsuit right for victims of intimate deepfakes has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An example of this is S. 1837 (119th) — “DEFIANCE Act of 2025.” The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) f

Will legislation that would revise federal housing programs to increase housing supply and affordability by expanding federal financing and grant authority for affordable housing and streamlining federal requirements that delay housing development become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that would revise federal housing programs to increase housing supply and affordability by expanding federal financing and grant authority for affordable housing and streamlining federal requirements that delay housing development has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market res

Will legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An example of this is H.R. 7126 (119th) — “To establish a Strategic Resilience Reserve of the United States…” The b

Will legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An example of this is H.R. 3447 (119th) — “Chip Security Act.” The bill must pass the full chamber (not

Will legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An example of this is H.R. 6875 (119th) — “AI OVERWATCH Act.” The bill must pass the full cham

Will legislation that extends Section 181 expensing for film and television productions become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that extends Section 181 expensing for film and television productions has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An example of this is H.R. 4787 (119th). The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. F

Will legislation that preempts state and local autonomous vehicle laws by establishing a unified federal regulatory framework for the testing and deployment of vehicles equipped with automated driving systems become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that preempts state and local autonomous vehicle laws by establishing a unified federal regulatory framework for the testing and deployment of vehicles equipped with automated driving systems has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An examp

Will legislation that redefines “showerhead” for DOE rules to allow multi-nozzle systems become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that redefines “showerhead” for DOE rules to allow multi-nozzle systems has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An example of this is H.R. 4593 (119th) — “SHOWER Act.” The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or S

Will legislation that prohibits data center power usage from increasing consumers' electric utility bills become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that prohibits data center power usage from increasing consumers' electric utility bills has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An example of this is the GRID Act (119th) — Guaranteeing Rate Insulation Act. The bill must pass the full cha

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An example of this is Public Law 118-49. The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. F

Will legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An example of this is H.R. 1329 (119th) — “Smithsonian American Women’s History Museum Act.” The bill must pass the

Will legislation that would require Treasury to mint and issue $2.50 coins to mark America’s 250th anniversary become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that would require Treasury to mint and issue $2.50 coins to mark America’s 250th anniversary has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An example of this is H.R. 5616 (119th) — “$2.50 for America’s 250th Act”. The bill must pass the full ch

Will legislation that renames Washington Dulles International Airport after Donald Trump become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that renames Washington Dulles International Airport after Donald Trump has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An example of this is H.R. 691 (119th). The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. F

Will legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An example of this is S.Amdt. 2229 to S. 1582 — “Credit Card Competition Act of 2025.” The bill must pass the f

Will legislation that designates June 14, the birthday of President Donald J. Trump, as a legal public holiday for federal employees become law before Jan 1, 2027?

If legislation that designates June 14, the birthday of President Donald J. Trump, as a legal public holiday for federal employees has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An example of this is H.R. 1395 (119th) — Trump's Birthday and Flag Day Holiday Esta