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About This Event
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 Clarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization, 2 years, ', KXBILLS-FISA, resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example, Public Law 118-49. X reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify. Clarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a p
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Will legislation that would revise federal housing programs to increase housing supply and affordability by expanding federal financing and grant authority for affordable housing and streamlining federal requirements that delay housing development become law before Jan 1, 2027?
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Single-Platform Markets(30)
Market
Platform
Price
Will legislation that would revise federal housing programs to increase housing supply and affordability by expanding federal financing and grant authority for affordable housing and streamlining federal requirements that delay housing development become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
99%
Will legislation that bars government agencies or private entities from using ADS-B aircraft-tracking data to identify aircraft for the purpose of obtaining revenue from the aircraft owner or operator without consent become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
32%
Will legislation that creates a federal civil lawsuit right for victims of intimate deepfakes become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
28%
Will legislation that provides multi-year reauthorization and funding for federal surface transportation programs through the Highway Trust Fund and general fund appropriations become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
27%
Will legislation that mandates expanded adoption of ADS-B “Out” aircraft tracking technology become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
27%
Will legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
25%
Will legislation that establishes a federal intellectual-property right protecting individuals’ voices and visual likenesses from unauthorized digital replicas become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
23%
Will legislation principally aimed at strengthening federal efforts to protect Jewish Americans from antisemitism, including through civil-rights enforcement, physical security support, threat monitoring, or online-platform transparency become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
22%
Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
21%
Will legislation that imposes enhanced federal safety requirements on freight rail carriers and trains transporting hazardous materials (e.g., mandates for wayside defect detectors, two-person crews, tank car safety standards, and state emergency notification) become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
21%
Will legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
21%
Will legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
21%
Will legislation principally aimed at curbing federal coercion of speech intermediaries (social media platforms, AI systems, broadcasters), including through a private right of action against agencies or officials, monetary damages, or mandatory disclosure of government-to-platform communications become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
18%
Will legislation that amends the Food and Nutrition Act of 2008 by modifying the statutory definition of “food” (eligible for purchase with SNAP benefits) to specifically include “hot rotisserie chicken” become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
18%
Will legislation that limits out-of-pocket costs for insulin for privately insured patients to no more than $40 per month, per 30-day supply, or equivalent monthly period become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
18%
Will legislation principally aimed at establishing a federal framework for college sports, including through NIL preemption, antitrust treatment of association rules, athlete-compensation standards, student-athlete protections, or employment-status rules become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
14%
Will legislation that imposes an annual federal registration fee on electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, with the revenue dedicated to the Highway Trust Fund become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
12%
Will legislation that extends Section 181 expensing for film and television productions become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
12%
Will legislation that prohibits data center power usage from increasing consumers' electric utility bills become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
11%
Will legislation that changes the official name of Fort Bragg, North Carolina, to Fort Liberty become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
9%
Will legislation that allows year-round nationwide sale of E15 fuel by extending the Clean Air Act Reid Vapor Pressure waiver to ethanol blends up to 15% become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
9%
Will legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
8%
Will legislation that would require Treasury to mint and issue $2.50 coins to mark America’s 250th anniversary become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
8%
Will legislation that pairs enhanced border security and mandatory E-Verify with asylum system reforms and an earned legal status program (without a path to citizenship) for certain long-term undocumented immigrants become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
7%
Will legislation that authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
7%
Will legislation that redefines “showerhead” for DOE rules to allow multi-nozzle systems become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
5%
Will legislation that renames Washington Dulles International Airport after Donald Trump become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
5%
Will legislation that designates June 14, the birthday of President Donald J. Trump, as a legal public holiday for federal employees become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
3%
Will legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Kalshi
2%
Will legislation that preempts state and local autonomous vehicle laws by establishing a unified federal regulatory framework for the testing and deployment of vehicles equipped with automated driving systems become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Will legislation that would revise federal housing programs to increase housing supply and affordability by expanding federal financing and grant authority for affordable housing and streamlining federal requirements that delay housing development become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Will legislation that bars government agencies or private entities from using ADS-B aircraft-tracking data to identify aircraft for the purpose of obtaining revenue from the aircraft owner or operator without consent become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Will legislation that provides multi-year reauthorization and funding for federal surface transportation programs through the Highway Trust Fund and general fund appropriations become law before Jan 1, 2027?
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