Yes38%
Vol$173.22K
Markets20
Event Group
EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
Part of: Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?Before Jan 3, 2027 If X is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes. X state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. X state qualifies only if the certifi
YesLeading Yes Probability
38%
|
VolTotal Volume
$173.22K
|
Markets
20
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

Yes
38%
|
Vol
$173.22K
|
Markets
20
Market Price Graph
20 markets tracked
Will Maine be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?
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All Markets(20)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Maine be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election? | 38% |
Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election? | 30% |
Will Ohio be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election? | 8% |
Will Michigan be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election? | 8% |
Will Minnesota be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election? | 3% |
Markets (20)
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