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Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?

Event Group
EventKALSHICross-Platform

Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?

Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
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Vol

12.35M contracts

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Markets

1

Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(1)
MarketOutcome price
Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?
Yes 2.5%

Event Overview

Before 2027 If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $200000 starting 2025-10-10 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time. This market will close and expire early if Bitcoin crosses the specified price threshold.

Market Resolution Rules

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $200000 starting 2025-10-10 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if Bitcoin crosses the specified price threshold.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (1)

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Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?

Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $200000 starting 2025-10-10 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if Bitcoin crosses the specified price threshold.

Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume12.35M contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 31, 2027
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