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How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?

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How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?

How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?
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Vol

5.80M contracts

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Markets

4

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Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(4)
MarketOutcome price
Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?
Yes 9.5%
Will Bitcoin be below $50000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?
Yes 7.5%
Will Bitcoin be below $45000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?
Yes 5.5%
Will Bitcoin be below $40000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?
Yes 4.5%

Event Overview

In 2026 If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below X starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index, BRTI, using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period, triggering early expiration, the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time. This market will close and expire early if Bitcoin crosses the specified price threshold.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (4)

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KALSHICrypto
Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $55000.00 starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if Bitcoin crosses the specified price threshold.

Yes outcome9.5%
Yes
Volume1.82M contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 31, 2027
View Details
KALSHICrypto
Will Bitcoin be below $50000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Will Bitcoin be below $50000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $50000.00 starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if Bitcoin crosses the specified price threshold.

Yes outcome7.5%
Yes
Volume1.57M contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 31, 2027
View Details
KALSHICrypto
Will Bitcoin be below $45000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Will Bitcoin be below $45000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $45000.00 starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if Bitcoin crosses the specified price threshold.

Yes outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume1.02M contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 31, 2027
View Details
KALSHICrypto
Will Bitcoin be below $40000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Will Bitcoin be below $40000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $40000.00 starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if Bitcoin crosses the specified price threshold.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume1.39M contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 31, 2027
View Details

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