Yes20%
Vol$21.85K
Markets8
Event Group
EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)
Part of: California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above X then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Yes minus the vote share received by the option that finishes immediately behind Yes if Yes wins, or the option that finishes first if Yes loses. If Yes wins, the margin will be positive; if Yes loses, the margin will be negative; if Yes ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range i
YesLeading Yes Probability
20%
|
VolTotal Volume
$21.85K
|
Markets
8
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)

Yes
20%
|
Vol
$21.85K
|
Markets
8
Market Price Graph
8 markets tracked
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 1%?
kalshi
No data available
All Markets(8)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 1%? | 20% |
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 16%? | 14% |
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 22%? | 12% |
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 19%? | 11% |
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 4%? | 11% |
Markets (8)
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