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Events
GroupKALSHI

California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)

California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)
Vol

$21.85K

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Events

1

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Markets

8

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

18%
Top Probability
$21.85K
Volume
8
Markets
1
Platforms

About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above X then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Yes minus the vote share received by the option that finishes immediately behind Yes if Yes wins, or the option that finishes first if Yes loses. If Yes wins, the margin will be positive; if Yes loses, the margin will be negative; if Yes ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range i

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

Market Insights

Average Yes Price
11¢
Kalshi
Arbitrage Opps
0
Cross-Platform
0

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