What is the current price for "Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 75.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)"?

There are 14 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

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Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)

Yes69%

Vol$0.00

Markets14

69%

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIClimate and Weather

Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)

Name: Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)
Start: 2026-07-10T05:34:56.074Z
End: 2026-08-09T05:34:56.074Z

Part of: Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)

June 4–July 30, 2026 If the maximum drought monitor category X during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category Y during June 4–July 30, 2026. This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category X during June 4–July 30, 2026.

YesLeading Yes Probability

69%

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

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Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)

Yes

69%

Vol

$0.00

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Market Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will Oregon have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

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All Markets(14)

Market	Price
Will Oregon have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?	69%
Will Virginia have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?	52%
Will Missouri have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?	45%
Will Kansas have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?	28%
Will Washington have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?	25%

Markets (14)

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KALSHIClimate

Will Oregon have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

If the maximum drought monitor category in Oregon during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for Oregon during June 4–Jul

Will Virginia have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

If the maximum drought monitor category in Virginia during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for Virginia during June 4

Will Missouri have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

If the maximum drought monitor category in Missouri during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for Missouri during June 4

Will Kansas have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

If the maximum drought monitor category in Kansas during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for Kansas during June 4–Jul

Will Washington have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

If the maximum drought monitor category in Washington during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for Washington during Ju

Will Louisiana have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

If the maximum drought monitor category in Louisiana during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for Louisiana during June

Will North Dakota have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

If the maximum drought monitor category in North Dakota during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for North Dakota durin

Will Tennessee have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

If the maximum drought monitor category in Tennessee during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for Tennessee during June

Will Minnesota have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

If the maximum drought monitor category in Minnesota during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for Minnesota during June

Will Iowa have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

If the maximum drought monitor category in Iowa during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for Iowa during June 4–July 30

Will Arizona have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

If the maximum drought monitor category in Arizona during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for Arizona during June 4–J

Will California have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

If the maximum drought monitor category in California during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for California during Ju

Will Indiana have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

If the maximum drought monitor category in Indiana during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for Indiana during June 4–J

Will Illinois have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

If the maximum drought monitor category in Illinois during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for Illinois during June 4

Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)

Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)

Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)

Market Price Graph

Will Oregon have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (14)

Will Oregon have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

Will Virginia have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

Will Missouri have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

Will Kansas have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

Will Washington have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

Will Louisiana have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

Will North Dakota have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

Will Tennessee have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

Will Minnesota have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

Will Iowa have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

Will Arizona have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

Will California have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

Will Indiana have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

Will Illinois have a maximum drought category of at least D4 during June 4–July 30, 2026?

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