What is the current price for "Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 98.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)"?

There are 14 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)"?

Total trading volume is approximately $1K.

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Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)

Yes37%

Vol$756.00

Markets14

37%

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EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)

Name: Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)
Start: 2026-10-13T05:32:01.517Z
End: 2026-11-12T05:32:01.517Z

Part of: Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)

On Apr 18, 2027 If X finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes each candidate receives in the first round, as proclaimed by the Constitutional Council, whether or not a second round is held and regardless of who advances to or wins it. In case of exact ties, markets resolve

YesLeading Yes Probability

37%

VolTotal Volume

$756.00

Markets

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Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)

Yes

37%

Vol

$756.00

Markets

Trade

Market Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

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All Markets(14)

Market	Price
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?	37%
Will Édouard Philippe finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?	33%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?	7%
Will Marine Le Pen finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?	5%
Will Gabriel Attal finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?	5%

Markets (14)

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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

If Jean-Luc Mélenchon finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of v

Will Édouard Philippe finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

If Édouard Philippe finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of vot

Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

If Raphaël Glucksmann finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of v

Will Marine Le Pen finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

If Marine Le Pen finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes

Will Gabriel Attal finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

If Gabriel Attal finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes

Will Jordan Bardella finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

If Jordan Bardella finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of vote

Will François Hollande finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

If François Hollande finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of vo

Will Bruno Retailleau finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

If Bruno Retailleau finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of vot

Will Xavier Bertrand finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

If Xavier Bertrand finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of vote

Will Marine Tondelier finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

If Marine Tondelier finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of vot

Will François Ruffin finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

If François Ruffin finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of vote

Will Éric Zemmour finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

If Éric Zemmour finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes e

Will Dominique de Villepin finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

If Dominique de Villepin finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number o

Will David Lisnard finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

If David Lisnard finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes

Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)

Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)

Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)

Market Price Graph

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (14)

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

Will Édouard Philippe finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

Will Gabriel Attal finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

Will Jordan Bardella finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

Will François Hollande finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

Will Bruno Retailleau finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

Will Xavier Bertrand finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Tondelier finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

Will François Ruffin finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

Will Éric Zemmour finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

Will Dominique de Villepin finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

Will David Lisnard finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?

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