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Will the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 2% and 4%?

Yes 4.5%

Vol49 contracts

SnapshotOct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 4.5%

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Event

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MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 2% and 4%?

Part of: Florida Governor: margin of victory

YesYes Price

4.5¢

VolTotal Volume

49 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 2% and 4%?

Yes

4.5¢

Vol

49 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes4.5¢

No95.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 4.5%. Snapshot Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida be between 2% and 4%? · Yes

No historical data available

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the margin of victory for David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Jolly minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Jolly if David Jolly wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Jolly loses. If David Jolly wins, the margin will be positive; if David Jolly loses, the margin will be negative; if David Jolly ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Jolly runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Resolution Info