What is the current price for "Michigan Senate: margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 97.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Michigan Senate: margin of victory"?

There are 10 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Michigan Senate: margin of victory"?

Total trading volume is approximately $21K.

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Michigan Senate: margin of victory

Vol21.3K contracts

Markets10

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

Michigan Senate: margin of victory

Name: Michigan Senate: margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-28T04:10:50.987Z
End: 2026-11-27T04:10:50.987Z

Part of: Michigan Senate: margin of victory

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is X Y Z 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Mike Rogers minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Mike Rogers if Mike Rogers wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Mike Rogers loses. If Mike Rogers wins, the margin will be positive; if Mike Rogers loses, the margin will be negative; if Mike Rogers ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mike Rogers runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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21.3K contracts

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Michigan Senate: margin of victory

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21.3K contracts

Markets

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Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 2% and 4%?

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All Markets(10)

Market	Outcome price
Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 2% and 4%?	Yes 18.5%
Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 0% and 2%?	Yes 18.0%
Will the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 0% and 2%?	Yes 15.0%
Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 4% and 6%?	Yes 13.0%
Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 6% and 8%?	Yes 8.0%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (10)

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses. If Abdul El-Sayed wins, the margin will be positive; if Abdul El-Sayed loses, the margin will be negative; if Abdul El-Sayed ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Abdul El-Sayed runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome18.5%

Yes

Volume715.83 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses. If Abdul El-Sayed wins, the margin will be positive; if Abdul El-Sayed loses, the margin will be negative; if Abdul El-Sayed ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Abdul El-Sayed runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome18.0%

Yes

Volume1.1K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Mike Rogers minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Mike Rogers if Mike Rogers wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Mike Rogers loses. If Mike Rogers wins, the margin will be positive; if Mike Rogers loses, the margin will be negative; if Mike Rogers ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mike Rogers runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome15.0%

Yes

Volume1.5K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses. If Abdul El-Sayed wins, the margin will be positive; if Abdul El-Sayed loses, the margin will be negative; if Abdul El-Sayed ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Abdul El-Sayed runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome13.0%

Yes

Volume97.08 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses. If Abdul El-Sayed wins, the margin will be positive; if Abdul El-Sayed loses, the margin will be negative; if Abdul El-Sayed ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Abdul El-Sayed runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome8.0%

Yes

Volume619.23 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Mike Rogers minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Mike Rogers if Mike Rogers wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Mike Rogers loses. If Mike Rogers wins, the margin will be positive; if Mike Rogers loses, the margin will be negative; if Mike Rogers ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mike Rogers runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome7.5%

Yes

Volume2.5K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 8% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses. If Abdul El-Sayed wins, the margin will be positive; if Abdul El-Sayed loses, the margin will be negative; if Abdul El-Sayed ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Abdul El-Sayed runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome5.5%

Yes

Volume591 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 10%?

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses. If Abdul El-Sayed wins, the margin will be positive; if Abdul El-Sayed loses, the margin will be negative; if Abdul El-Sayed ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Abdul El-Sayed runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.5%

Yes

Volume1.8K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Mike Rogers minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Mike Rogers if Mike Rogers wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Mike Rogers loses. If Mike Rogers wins, the margin will be positive; if Mike Rogers loses, the margin will be negative; if Mike Rogers ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mike Rogers runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.0%

Yes

Volume6.9K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 6%?

If the margin of victory for Mike Rogers in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is at or above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Mike Rogers minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Mike Rogers if Mike Rogers wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Mike Rogers loses. If Mike Rogers wins, the margin will be positive; if Mike Rogers loses, the margin will be negative; if Mike Rogers ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mike Rogers runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome2.5%

Yes

Volume5.3K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

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Michigan Senate: margin of victory

Michigan Senate: margin of victory

Michigan Senate: margin of victory

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 2% and 4%?

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