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Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 2% and 4%?

Yes 18.5%

Vol715.83 contracts

SnapshotOct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 18.5%

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Event

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Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 2% and 4%?

Part of: Michigan Senate: margin of victory

YesYes Price

18.5¢

VolTotal Volume

715.83 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 2% and 4%?

Yes

18.5¢

Vol

715.83 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes18.5¢

No81.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 18.5%. Snapshot Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan be between 2% and 4%? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses. If Abdul El-Sayed wins, the margin will be positive; if Abdul El-Sayed loses, the margin will be negative; if Abdul El-Sayed ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Abdul El-Sayed runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Resolution Info