What is the current price for "Minnesota Senate: margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 86.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Minnesota Senate: margin of victory"?

There are 10 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Minnesota Senate: margin of victory"?

Total trading volume is approximately $4K.

BackKKALSHI

Minnesota Senate: margin of victory

Vol3.6K contracts

Markets10

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

Minnesota Senate: margin of victory

Name: Minnesota Senate: margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-30T03:58:18.409Z
End: 2026-11-29T03:58:18.409Z

Part of: Minnesota Senate: margin of victory

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within X to Y then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Peggy Flanagan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

VolTotal Volume

3.6K contracts

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Minnesota Senate: margin of victory

Vol

3.6K contracts

Markets

Trade

Market snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 6% and 8%?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(10)

Market	Outcome price
Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 6% and 8%?	Yes 16.0%
Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 8% and 10%?	Yes 14.0%
Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 4% and 6%?	Yes 13.5%
Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 10% and 12%?	Yes 11.0%
Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 14%?	Yes 8.5%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (10)

Sort

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Peggy Flanagan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome16.0%

Yes

Volume436.51 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 8% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Peggy Flanagan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome14.0%

Yes

Volume540.97 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Peggy Flanagan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome13.5%

Yes

Volume310 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 10% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Peggy Flanagan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome11.0%

Yes

Volume354.55 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 14%?

If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is at or above 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Peggy Flanagan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome8.5%

Yes

Volume349.24 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 12% and 14%?

If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Peggy Flanagan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome7.0%

Yes

Volume346.52 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Peggy Flanagan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome5.5%

Yes

Volume460.42 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Peggy Flanagan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.5%

Yes

Volume164 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Michele Tafoya in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Michele Tafoya in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Michele Tafoya minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Michele Tafoya if Michele Tafoya wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Michele Tafoya loses. If Michele Tafoya wins, the margin will be positive; if Michele Tafoya loses, the margin will be negative; if Michele Tafoya ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Michele Tafoya runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.5%

Yes

Volume322.18 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Michele Tafoya in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 2%?

If the margin of victory for Michele Tafoya in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Michele Tafoya minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Michele Tafoya if Michele Tafoya wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Michele Tafoya loses. If Michele Tafoya wins, the margin will be positive; if Michele Tafoya loses, the margin will be negative; if Michele Tafoya ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Michele Tafoya runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.0%

Yes

Volume309.09 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

Back to Event Group

Minnesota Senate: margin of victory

Minnesota Senate: margin of victory

Minnesota Senate: margin of victory

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 6% and 8%?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets (10)

Share This Event