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Will the margin of victory for Michele Tafoya in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 2%?

Yes 4.0%

Vol309.09 contracts

SnapshotOct 30, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 4.0%

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Event

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Will the margin of victory for Michele Tafoya in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 2%?

Part of: Minnesota Senate: margin of victory

YesYes Price

4.0¢

VolTotal Volume

309.09 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will the margin of victory for Michele Tafoya in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 2%?

Yes

4.0¢

Vol

309.09 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes4.0¢

No96.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 4.0%. Snapshot Oct 30, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Michele Tafoya in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 2%? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the margin of victory for Michele Tafoya in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Michele Tafoya minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Michele Tafoya if Michele Tafoya wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Michele Tafoya loses. If Michele Tafoya wins, the margin will be positive; if Michele Tafoya loses, the margin will be negative; if Michele Tafoya ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Michele Tafoya runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Resolution Info