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GroupKALSHI

Minnesota Senate: margin of victory

Minnesota Senate: margin of victory
Vol

K 3.6K contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

10

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Peggy Flanagan, 6-8% at 16%.

Kalshi

  1. Peggy Flanagan, 6-8%16%
  2. Peggy Flanagan, 8-10%14%
  3. Peggy Flanagan, 4-6%13.5%
  4. Peggy Flanagan, 10-12%11%
  5. Peggy Flanagan, ≥14%8.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 3.6K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

10

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within X to Y then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Peggy Flanagan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Minnesota Senate margin of victory

Minnesota Senate margin of victory

K 226.8K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 89.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 85%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Closest Governor's Race?

Closest Governor's Race?

PM $76.2K · K 1.74M contracts

Will Georgia be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 17.7%Rules differK Yes 17.5%

Will Georgia be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 17.5%

Will Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Kansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?

Related contracts

PM Yes 14.9%Rules differK Yes 8.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

62 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota Senate margin of victory

Minnesota Senate margin of victory

K 4.6K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 3%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?

Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?

PM $3.5K · K 19.4K contracts

No comparable saved prices

0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

PM $22.9K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 33%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes 23.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Idaho Senate margin of victory

Idaho Senate margin of victory

K 20.6K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 89.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 86.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 81%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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