What is the current price for "Ohio Senate: margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 93.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Ohio Senate: margin of victory"?

There are 12 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Ohio Senate: margin of victory"?

Total trading volume is approximately $6K.

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Ohio Senate: margin of victory

Vol5.6K contracts

Markets12

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

Ohio Senate: margin of victory

Name: Ohio Senate: margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-29T17:16:25.034Z
End: 2026-11-28T17:16:25.034Z

Part of: Ohio Senate: margin of victory

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio is within X to Y then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Sherrod Brown minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Sherrod Brown if Sherrod Brown wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Sherrod Brown loses. If Sherrod Brown wins, the margin will be positive; if Sherrod Brown loses, the margin will be negative; if Sherrod Brown ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sherrod Brown runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Ohio Senate: margin of victory

Vol

5.6K contracts

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Market snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%?

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All Markets(12)

Market	Outcome price
Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%?	Yes 15.0%
Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%?	Yes 14.5%
Will the margin of victory for Jon Husted in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%?	Yes 12.5%
Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 4% and 6%?	Yes 12.0%
Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 6% and 8%?	Yes 9.5%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (12)

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Sherrod Brown minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Sherrod Brown if Sherrod Brown wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Sherrod Brown loses. If Sherrod Brown wins, the margin will be positive; if Sherrod Brown loses, the margin will be negative; if Sherrod Brown ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sherrod Brown runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome15.0%

Yes

Volume587.68 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Sherrod Brown minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Sherrod Brown if Sherrod Brown wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Sherrod Brown loses. If Sherrod Brown wins, the margin will be positive; if Sherrod Brown loses, the margin will be negative; if Sherrod Brown ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sherrod Brown runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome14.5%

Yes

Volume338.01 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Jon Husted in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Husted in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Husted minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Husted if Jon Husted wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Husted loses. If Jon Husted wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Husted loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Husted ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Husted runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome12.5%

Yes

Volume942.67 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Sherrod Brown minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Sherrod Brown if Sherrod Brown wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Sherrod Brown loses. If Sherrod Brown wins, the margin will be positive; if Sherrod Brown loses, the margin will be negative; if Sherrod Brown ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sherrod Brown runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome12.0%

Yes

Volume288.66 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Sherrod Brown minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Sherrod Brown if Sherrod Brown wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Sherrod Brown loses. If Sherrod Brown wins, the margin will be positive; if Sherrod Brown loses, the margin will be negative; if Sherrod Brown ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sherrod Brown runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome9.5%

Yes

Volume266.66 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Jon Husted in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Husted in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Husted minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Husted if Jon Husted wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Husted loses. If Jon Husted wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Husted loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Husted ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Husted runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome9.0%

Yes

Volume278.45 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 8% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Sherrod Brown minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Sherrod Brown if Sherrod Brown wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Sherrod Brown loses. If Sherrod Brown wins, the margin will be positive; if Sherrod Brown loses, the margin will be negative; if Sherrod Brown ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sherrod Brown runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome6.5%

Yes

Volume266.66 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 10% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Sherrod Brown minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Sherrod Brown if Sherrod Brown wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Sherrod Brown loses. If Sherrod Brown wins, the margin will be positive; if Sherrod Brown loses, the margin will be negative; if Sherrod Brown ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sherrod Brown runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.5%

Yes

Volume266.66 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Jon Husted in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be at least 8%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Husted in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio is at or above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Husted minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Husted if Jon Husted wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Husted loses. If Jon Husted wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Husted loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Husted ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Husted runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.5%

Yes

Volume137.66 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be at least 12%?

If the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio is at or above 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Sherrod Brown minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Sherrod Brown if Sherrod Brown wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Sherrod Brown loses. If Sherrod Brown wins, the margin will be positive; if Sherrod Brown loses, the margin will be negative; if Sherrod Brown ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sherrod Brown runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.0%

Yes

Volume266.66 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Jon Husted in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Husted in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Husted minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Husted if Jon Husted wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Husted loses. If Jon Husted wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Husted loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Husted ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Husted runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.0%

Yes

Volume1.7K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Jon Husted in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Husted in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Husted minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Husted if Jon Husted wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Husted loses. If Jon Husted wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Husted loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Husted ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Husted runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome2.5%

Yes

Volume266.66 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

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Ohio Senate: margin of victory

Ohio Senate: margin of victory

Ohio Senate: margin of victory

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Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%?

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