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Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be at least 12%?

Yes 5.5%

Vol266.66 contracts

SnapshotOct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Yes 5.5%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be at least 12%?

Part of: Ohio Senate: margin of victory

YesYes Price

5.5¢

VolTotal Volume

266.66 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be at least 12%?

Yes

5.5¢

Vol

266.66 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes5.5¢

No94.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 5.5%. Snapshot Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be at least 12%? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio is at or above 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Sherrod Brown minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Sherrod Brown if Sherrod Brown wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Sherrod Brown loses. If Sherrod Brown wins, the margin will be positive; if Sherrod Brown loses, the margin will be negative; if Sherrod Brown ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sherrod Brown runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Resolution Info