
Through Dec 31, 2026 If the duration of the first US federal government shutdown between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026 due to a lapse of appropriations is at least X days, then the market resolves to Yes. X shutdown is defined as the government's orderly suspension of agency work that is not legally excepted, typically accompanied by furloughing the employees who perform that work, when funding is unavailable. Shutdown status is recorded at 10:00 AM ET each day. Partial shutdowns are included. X
99%
$0.00
15

99%
$0.00
15
15 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will the US government be shut down for at least 65 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026? | 99% |
Will the US government be shut down for at least 70 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026? | 92% |
Will the US government be shut down for at least 75 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026? | 85% |
Will the US government be shut down for at least 80 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026? | 77% |
Will the US government be shut down for at least 85 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026? | 71% |