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Hormuz traffic × July 2027 gas price

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EventKALSHI

Hormuz traffic × July 2027 gas price

Hormuz traffic × July 2027 gas price
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8

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Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Hormuz traffic NOT return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be below $3.40?

kalshi

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All Markets(8)
MarketOutcome price
Will Hormuz traffic NOT return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be below $3.40?
Yes 50.0%
Will Hormuz traffic NOT return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be $4.20 or above?
Yes 50.0%
Will Hormuz traffic NOT return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be $3.80 to $4.19?
Yes 50.0%
Will Hormuz traffic NOT return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be $3.40 to $3.79?
Yes 50.0%
Will Hormuz traffic return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be below $3.40?
Yes 50.0%

Event Overview

Jul 31, 2027 If ALL of the following occur: Hormuz traffic: Not back to normal, Gas price: X Y Z then the market resolves to Yes. For all outcomes in this market, Hormuz traffic is “Back to normal” if the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 at any time before Jul 1, 2027, and “Not back to normal” if it is not, and Gas price refers to the AAA national average price for regular gasoline on Jul 31, 2027. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Hormuz traffic, POLITICALSTAT, Gas price, AAAGAS. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. Each price range runs from its lower bound up to, but not including, the next range's lower bound. For example, “$3.40 to $3.79” covers $3.40 up to but not including $3.80, “$4.20 or above” includes $4.20, and “Below $3.40” covers prices less than $3.40. This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur, resolving to No, or all components have been satisfied, resolving to Yes.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (8)

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KALSHIOther
Will Hormuz traffic NOT return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be below $3.40?

Will Hormuz traffic NOT return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be below $3.40?

If ALL of the following occur: Hormuz traffic: Not back to normal, Gas price: Below $3.40, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Hormuz traffic is “Back to normal” if the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 at any time before Jul 1, 2027, and “Not back to normal” if it is not, and Gas price refers to the AAA national average price for regular gasoline on Jul 31, 2027. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Hormuz traffic (POLITICALSTAT), Gas price (AAAGAS). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. Each price range runs from its lower bound up to, but not including, the next range's lower bound. For example, “$3.40 to $3.79” covers $3.40 up to but not including $3.80, “$4.20 or above” includes $4.20, and “Below $3.40” covers prices less than $3.40. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJul 31, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will Hormuz traffic NOT return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be $4.20 or above?

Will Hormuz traffic NOT return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be $4.20 or above?

If ALL of the following occur: Hormuz traffic: Not back to normal, Gas price: $4.20 or above, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Hormuz traffic is “Back to normal” if the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 at any time before Jul 1, 2027, and “Not back to normal” if it is not, and Gas price refers to the AAA national average price for regular gasoline on Jul 31, 2027. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Hormuz traffic (POLITICALSTAT), Gas price (AAAGAS). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. Each price range runs from its lower bound up to, but not including, the next range's lower bound. For example, “$3.40 to $3.79” covers $3.40 up to but not including $3.80, “$4.20 or above” includes $4.20, and “Below $3.40” covers prices less than $3.40. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJul 31, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will Hormuz traffic NOT return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be $3.80 to $4.19?

Will Hormuz traffic NOT return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be $3.80 to $4.19?

If ALL of the following occur: Hormuz traffic: Not back to normal, Gas price: $3.80 to $4.19, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Hormuz traffic is “Back to normal” if the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 at any time before Jul 1, 2027, and “Not back to normal” if it is not, and Gas price refers to the AAA national average price for regular gasoline on Jul 31, 2027. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Hormuz traffic (POLITICALSTAT), Gas price (AAAGAS). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. Each price range runs from its lower bound up to, but not including, the next range's lower bound. For example, “$3.40 to $3.79” covers $3.40 up to but not including $3.80, “$4.20 or above” includes $4.20, and “Below $3.40” covers prices less than $3.40. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJul 31, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will Hormuz traffic NOT return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be $3.40 to $3.79?

Will Hormuz traffic NOT return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be $3.40 to $3.79?

If ALL of the following occur: Hormuz traffic: Not back to normal, Gas price: $3.40 to $3.79, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Hormuz traffic is “Back to normal” if the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 at any time before Jul 1, 2027, and “Not back to normal” if it is not, and Gas price refers to the AAA national average price for regular gasoline on Jul 31, 2027. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Hormuz traffic (POLITICALSTAT), Gas price (AAAGAS). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. Each price range runs from its lower bound up to, but not including, the next range's lower bound. For example, “$3.40 to $3.79” covers $3.40 up to but not including $3.80, “$4.20 or above” includes $4.20, and “Below $3.40” covers prices less than $3.40. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJul 31, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will Hormuz traffic return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be below $3.40?

Will Hormuz traffic return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be below $3.40?

If ALL of the following occur: Hormuz traffic: Back to normal, Gas price: Below $3.40, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Hormuz traffic is “Back to normal” if the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 at any time before Jul 1, 2027, and “Not back to normal” if it is not, and Gas price refers to the AAA national average price for regular gasoline on Jul 31, 2027. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Hormuz traffic (POLITICALSTAT), Gas price (AAAGAS). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. Each price range runs from its lower bound up to, but not including, the next range's lower bound. For example, “$3.40 to $3.79” covers $3.40 up to but not including $3.80, “$4.20 or above” includes $4.20, and “Below $3.40” covers prices less than $3.40. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJul 31, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will Hormuz traffic return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be $4.20 or above?

Will Hormuz traffic return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be $4.20 or above?

If ALL of the following occur: Hormuz traffic: Back to normal, Gas price: $4.20 or above, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Hormuz traffic is “Back to normal” if the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 at any time before Jul 1, 2027, and “Not back to normal” if it is not, and Gas price refers to the AAA national average price for regular gasoline on Jul 31, 2027. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Hormuz traffic (POLITICALSTAT), Gas price (AAAGAS). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. Each price range runs from its lower bound up to, but not including, the next range's lower bound. For example, “$3.40 to $3.79” covers $3.40 up to but not including $3.80, “$4.20 or above” includes $4.20, and “Below $3.40” covers prices less than $3.40. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJul 31, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will Hormuz traffic return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be $3.80 to $4.19?

Will Hormuz traffic return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be $3.80 to $4.19?

If ALL of the following occur: Hormuz traffic: Back to normal, Gas price: $3.80 to $4.19, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Hormuz traffic is “Back to normal” if the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 at any time before Jul 1, 2027, and “Not back to normal” if it is not, and Gas price refers to the AAA national average price for regular gasoline on Jul 31, 2027. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Hormuz traffic (POLITICALSTAT), Gas price (AAAGAS). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. Each price range runs from its lower bound up to, but not including, the next range's lower bound. For example, “$3.40 to $3.79” covers $3.40 up to but not including $3.80, “$4.20 or above” includes $4.20, and “Below $3.40” covers prices less than $3.40. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJul 31, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will Hormuz traffic return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be $3.40 to $3.79?

Will Hormuz traffic return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be $3.40 to $3.79?

If ALL of the following occur: Hormuz traffic: Back to normal, Gas price: $3.40 to $3.79, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Hormuz traffic is “Back to normal” if the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 at any time before Jul 1, 2027, and “Not back to normal” if it is not, and Gas price refers to the AAA national average price for regular gasoline on Jul 31, 2027. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Hormuz traffic (POLITICALSTAT), Gas price (AAAGAS). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. Each price range runs from its lower bound up to, but not including, the next range's lower bound. For example, “$3.40 to $3.79” covers $3.40 up to but not including $3.80, “$4.20 or above” includes $4.20, and “Below $3.40” covers prices less than $3.40. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJul 31, 2027
View Details

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