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Will Hormuz traffic return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be below $3.40?

Yes 50.0%

Vol0 contracts

SnapshotNov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 50.0%

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Event

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Will Hormuz traffic return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be below $3.40?

Part of: Hormuz traffic × July 2027 gas price

YesYes Price

50.0¢

VolTotal Volume

0 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jul 31, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will Hormuz traffic return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be below $3.40?

Yes

50.0¢

Vol

0 contracts

Outcomes

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Yes50.0¢

No50.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 50.0%. Snapshot Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Hormuz traffic return to normal before Jul 1, 2027 AND the AAA gas price on Jul 31, 2027 be below $3.40? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jul 31, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If ALL of the following occur: Hormuz traffic: Back to normal, Gas price: Below $3.40, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For all outcomes in this market, Hormuz traffic is “Back to normal” if the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 at any time before Jul 1, 2027, and “Not back to normal” if it is not, and Gas price refers to the AAA national average price for regular gasoline on Jul 31, 2027. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Hormuz traffic (POLITICALSTAT), Gas price (AAAGAS). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. Each price range runs from its lower bound up to, but not including, the next range's lower bound. For example, “$3.40 to $3.79” covers $3.40 up to but not including $3.80, “$4.20 or above” includes $4.20, and “Below $3.40” covers prices less than $3.40. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

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Resolution Info