About This Event

Jul 31, 2027 If ALL of the following occur: Hormuz traffic: Not back to normal, Gas price: X Y Z then the market resolves to Yes. For all outcomes in this market, Hormuz traffic is “Back to normal” if the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 at any time before Jul 1, 2027, and “Not back to normal” if it is not, and Gas price refers to the AAA national average price for regular gasoline on Jul 31, 2027. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Hormuz traffic, POLITICALSTAT, Gas price, AAAGAS. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. Each price range runs from its lower bound up to, but not including, the next range's lower bound. For example, “$3.40 to $3.79” covers $3.40 up to but not including $3.80, “$4.20 or above” includes $4.20, and “Below $3.40” covers prices less than $3.40. This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur, resolving to No, or all components have been satisfied, resolving to Yes.